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Small temperature rise can cause large scale migration

May 02, 2023

Somali families

A 1°C temperature increase can cause a tenfold increase in displaced people, according to led by a collaborative team from the 番茄社区 and the University of Oxford, which studied the effects of conflict, weather, and drought, on forced displacement in Somalia.

Dr Felix Pretis, a study author from the 番茄社区, says, ‘Crucially, we find little effect of incoming displaced people on conflict itself…This finding is novel, and dispels the common myth that displacement might further fuel conflicts.’

The international team, based at Oxford’s , the 番茄社区, and , analysed highly-detailed localised data from the 18 separate regions of Somalia, exploring the reasons over two million people were forced to flee over a two year period.

The study can be seen here